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Omission bias: Here we go again

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NBC News was at it again this week with a story focused on misinformation. It said that former President “Trump has repeatedly claimed without evidence that the prosecution led by Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg was part of an effort by President Joe Biden’s administration to interfere with his election prospects.”

Another CNBC story claimed that Trump has baselessly asserted that his case, which was brought by the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office and tried in New York state court, was masterminded by Joe Biden to hurt Trump’s chances in the 2024 presidential election.

A few days earlier, George Stephanopoulos at ABC, who worked on Bill Clinton’s 1992 presidential campaign that famously squelched multiple “bimbo eruptions,” made a similar claim.

In essence, the media, which often appears to favor Democratic narratives, collectively wants to sell the idea that Biden has nothing to do with New York’s prosecution. “Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.” The media continually omits critical information, expecting it won’t be noticed.

In this case, the media fails to mention that Matthew Colangelo, Bragg’s lead attorney who made the opening arguments in the New York case and stood behind him during his victory speech, was previously the third-highest-ranking official at Merrick Garland’s DOJ. Curious minds ask: what is the likelihood of a person quitting a prestigious #3 DOJ position and taking up a role in a county prosecutor’s office? Historically, how many occurrences have there been where a top DOJ official quit and joined a county prosecutor’s office? Chairman Jim Jordan (R-OH) has requested documents about Colangelo’s previous employment, highlighting his role in several anti-Trump investigations and his transfer from a senior DOJ position to Bragg’s office to “jump-start” the investigation of President Trump. Jordan has subpoenaed both Bragg and Colangelo for hearings on June 13.

Six days before the NBC News piece appeared, we provided several discrete pointers, all of which have led to overwhelming evidence about President Biden’s lawfare against Trump. Even better, we quoted Biden at his press conference in November 2022, wherein he expressly indicated a desire to prevent Trump from running: “We just have to demonstrate that he will not take power if he does run, making sure he—under legitimate efforts of our Constitution—does not become the next president again.” In the Fulton County case, the lead prosecutor met with White House officials exactly nine days after Biden made the above statement, the same day that AG Garland appointed Jack Smith as Special Counsel. Remember that Garland had looked into J6 activities in 2021 and had decided not to charge Trump, but he changed his mind after Biden’s presser.

NBC News – are you really saying that all of the above isn’t sufficient evidence to suggest that Biden is engaged in lawfare?

Nearly 15 months ago, we published an editorial about how dishonest the media is when it talks about the “no evidence” standard when there’s plenty of evidence. They just don’t look for the evidence because it doesn’t help their narrative. We don’t do this often, but we are reproducing the entire editorial here to demonstrate again that the media hasn’t changed its propagandist behavior one bit.

The Media’s Dishonest “No Evidence” Standard

There is a price to be paid for such irresponsible behavior: barely forty percent of Americans have faith in the media.

For over eight years, the liberal media has popularized several terms to discredit any story it doesn’t favor. “Unsubstantiated,” “widely debunked,” and “zero proof” are variants of the “no evidence” standard that the media uses to squash plausible theories and classify them as “conspiracies.” The practice is so widespread that several mainstream outlets also embrace it.

Tom Elliott, the founder of the Grabien website, did the world an excellent service by illustrating this hypocrisy. He tweeted a series of video links that garnered nearly a million views in 24 hours. Titled “FLASHBACK,” he highlighted news anchors from across the liberal media spectrum three years ago – MSNBC, CNN, ABC, and NBC – repeating the same mantra in colorful ways: There is zero proof that the coronavirus originated in a Wuhan lab, and former President Trump was wrong to emphasize such conspiracy theories.

But recent stories leaked to the Wall Street Journal and confirmed by FBI Director Christopher Wray in his Fox interview with Bret Baier show that President Trump was right after all. “So as you note, Bret, the FBI has for quite some time now assessed that the origins of the pandemic are most likely a potential lab incident in Wuhan,” Wray said.

While the big networks have expectedly and shamelessly made no public apologies for getting the story wrong, a more significant problem remains. Leftist media shills continue to push their preferred line while posing as neutral arbiters of the truth. Each time they have turned out to be hopelessly wrong, and in some cases, the pre-meditated campaigns have had profound consequences that have affected history.

The most glaring example was the 20-month-long Russia Russia Russia campaign from 2016 that handicapped a young administration and put former President Trump in poor light. Deep State operatives held that the 45th president was too close to Russia and could compromise national security. Special Counsel Robert Mueller conducted the most extensive investigation in US history for nearly two years. There were no limits to what paths and whom he could pursue, how much money he could spend, and how far back he could go. He used 19 senior prosecutors and over 40 FBI agents, summoned over 500 witnesses with subpoenas so that they were forced to testify, and examined millions of pages of documents. While the most in-depth investigation of a sitting US president dragged on for over 22 months, there were over 525,000 articles or TV reports about Trump, 90 percent negative. Mueller’s conclusion at the end of it all? Trump did not collude with the Russians.

Our TIPP poll in December 2022 showed that seven in ten people following the Hunter Biden laptop story thought that the 2020 Biden-Trump election would have played out differently had they known the story was real. Twitter and other Big Tech outlets suppressed the New York Post series exposing the laptop’s contents by disallowing retweeting individual stories. More than 50 intelligence officials peddled a counter-narrative that the tale was Russian misinformation to hand the election to Trump. The mainstream media outlets ignored the Post’s reporting and pressed forward with the counter-narrative sufficiently long to ensure a Biden win.

The media has repeatedly employed the “without any evidence” standard to debunk stories questioning the 2020 election results. The problem was not in how ballots were cast or votes were counted. The issue was that the electoral processes were so substantially changed with relaxed checks and balances that many illegitimate ballots were likely tallied as legitimate and favored Biden. Like the Wuhan lab leak story, this line of thinking was reasonably plausible, but the media never let it develop. By harping on the “there-is-no-evidence-that-there-was-any-fraud” angle and repeating it incessantly, the Left has helped instill a sense of anxiety among voters about election integrity that will remain for decades.

As we have noted, what changed in 2020 was the number of people who voted absentee in states that had little experience with no-excuse mail-in balloting and drop-boxes. In states they controlled (like New Jersey), Democrats had the laws changed to send absentee ballots to every registered voter. In states where the Left had no legislative control (Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Wisconsin), they filed over 145 lawsuits alleging that Covid shutdowns would disproportionately disenfranchise minorities and other communities of color. The remedies they sought were relaxed rules to accept late mail-in ballots and eliminating restrictions to verify ballot signatures against voter rolls. President Trump was right to suggest that too many last-minute changes crippled the election infrastructure in numerous states, leading to questionable results. But the media would have none of that.

When Georgia Governor Brian Kemp pushed through a strict voter law with significant provisions to enforce election integrity, President Biden and his liberal media friends criticized the move as Jim Crow 2.0 restrictions. Again, the justification was that there had been “no evidence” of election improprieties in 2020; therefore, the new law was an overreach to punish minorities deliberately. Major League Baseball canceled the All-Star game in Atlanta in protest. Corporations threatened to boycott Georgia. And all the while, the media had a field day embellishing this narrative. But in November, results showed more people voted in the Georgia primaries and the general election than ever. Brian Kemp easily won reelection to the governor’s mansion in a rematch against election denier Stacey Abrams, who finally called the Kemp campaign to concede, something she never did in 2018.

We can cite other examples: Sexual misconduct allegations against Brett Kavanaugh, Trump’s first impeachment about his infamous call with Ukrainian president Zelenskyy, and the 2020 summer BLM riots. In each case, the media held to a “no evidence” standard to push its narrative. In each case, the original record proved to be false.

Make no mistake. There is a cost for such reckless behavior. It’s no surprise that Americans have lost faith in the fourth estate. In a TIPP Poll conducted in February, only four out of ten (40%) respondents expressed trust.

Omission Bias: Here We Go Again
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Editor’s note: In the latest TIPP poll completed in late May, it is even worse – only 32% trust the media. A lot of trust=10%, Quite a bit of trust=22%, Little trust=35%, No trust at all=28%, Not sure=6%.

Using evidence as the sole reporting standard can be misleading because, as in the Wuhan case, existing evidence may be deliberately hidden from public scrutiny. Sometimes, new evidence, such as the impact of school closings and mask mandates on children, comes to light. Concluding narratives based on insufficiently-known proof can be dangerous and lead to wrong policy choices.

If a reasonable person can believe a theory is probable, reporting standards demand that it should at least be subjected to the usual scrutiny of quality journalism. This would include interviewing multiple “experts” with opposing views and airing out both points of view, without bias. Let the public judge for themselves.

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TIPP Takes

Geopolitics, Geoeconomics, And More

1. Hamas Says 210 Killed In Gaza’s Al-Nuseirat Where Israel Rescued Four Hostages – Al Arabiya

Hamas’s government media office said at least 210 people were killed in Israeli attacks on a central Gaza camp from which four hostages were rescued.

Omission Bias: Here We Go Again

Earlier on Saturday, an Israeli military spokesperson said the hostage rescue operation took place under fire in the heart of a residential neighborhood, where he said Hamas had been hiding captives among Gaza civilians under guard by armed militants.


2. Hamas Chief Says ‘Resistance To Continue’ After Israeli Attack On Gaza’s Al-Nuseirat – Reuters

Israel cannot force its choices on Hamas, and the group will accept no deal that does not achieve security for Palestinians, Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh said in response to an Israeli military offensive in Gaza’s al-Nuseirat area.

Omission Bias: Here We Go Again
Ismail Haniyeh

A senior Hamas official, Sami Abu Zuhri, told Reuters that “regaining four captives after nine months of fighting is a sign of failure, not an achievement.”


3. Israel PM Asks Minister Not To Quit After Ultimatum – AFP

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu asked war cabinet minister Benny Gantz not to resign after threats to quit over the lack of post-war strategy for the Gaza Strip.

Omission Bias: Here We Go Again
Benny Gantz (L), Netanyahu

Gantz said last month he would resign from the emergency body if Netanyahu did not approve a post-war plan for Gaza by June 8.


4. “Putin Not Going To Stop At Ukraine”: Biden’s Warning After Talks With Macron – AFP

“Putin is not going to stop at Ukraine,” President Biden said alongside French President Emmanuel Macron after talks in Paris.

Omission Bias: Here We Go Again

“All of Europe will be threatened; we are not going to let that happen,” Joe Biden added.

Biden and Macron met Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in Paris, pledging support for the Ukrainian cause.


5. Putin Urges Expansion Of Russian Financial Markets, Cutting Use Of Western Currencies – Reuters

Speaking at the St Petersburg International Economic Forum, President Vladimir Putin said trade with Asia was soaring and that nearly 40 percent of Russian external trade was now in rubles as the share conducted in U.S. dollars, euros, and other Western currencies declined.

Omission Bias: Here We Go Again

Putin said Russia would seek to boost the share of settlements conducted in the currencies of BRICS countries—the group of economies that includes Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa.


6. Japan To Sign Agreement With Ukraine For Long-Term Support – Kyodo News

The agreement, which will remain in effect for ten years, will be signed during a planned meeting between Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Thursday, the fringes of a Group of Seven summit in Italy.

Omission Bias: Here We Go Again
Japanese PM Fumio Kishida and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Japan’s agreement with Ukraine will focus on long-term support for the reconstruction of the war-torn country. It will include cooperation in demining and the provision of nonlethal defense equipment, which is within the scope of Japan’s war-renouncing Constitution.


7. Chinese Jets Circle Dutch Ship In East China Sea – D.W.

A Dutch ship on patrol in support of UN sanctions on North Korea was approached by Chinese aircraft in the East China Sea, according to the Dutch military. The encirclement created an “unsafe” situation.

Omission Bias: Here We Go Again
HNLMS Tromp is now on its way to Japan, according to the Dutch Ministry of Defense

According to the statement, HNLMS Tromp continued its journey as part of “Pacific Archer 24” naval exercises as planned and is now on its way to Japan.


8. Saudi Arabia Joins China And UAE In Digital Currency Project – Al Monitor

Saudi Arabia is the latest country to join a multi-country initiative for central bank digital currency (CBDC) amid increasing interest from the Gulf state in futuristic forms of money.

Omission Bias: Here We Go Again
Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud

The Switzerland-based Bank for International Settlements (BIS) announced that Saudi Arabia is joining Project mBridge as a “full participant.” The project explores a multi-central bank digital currency platform to enable cross-border payments, the bank said in a press release.


9. Hungary: Orban Challenger Draws Massive Crowd On Eve Of Vote – D.W.

Peter Magyar spoke to supporters as his Tisza movement looks poised to take as much as 29% of the vote in EU elections. In a matter of months, he has emerged as nationalist Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s biggest threat.

Omission Bias: Here We Go Again
Peter Magyar

Though Orban and his Fidesz party—in power since 2010—look likely to take between 44% and 49% of the vote, Magyar’s Tisza movement is tipped to take between 23% and 29%.


10. Egypt Will Have Access To About $820 Million Subject To IMF Board Approval – AFP

The International Monetary Fund and Egypt have reached an agreement on a loan program review that will unlock around $820 million, the Washington-based lender said, setting the stage for “an acceleration of structural reforms.”

Omission Bias: Here We Go Again

The International Monetary Fund said in a statement that its staff had reached the agreement on the third review of an existing Extended Fund Facility loan agreement shortly after concluding a two-week visit to the North African country.


11. U.S. Cannot Afford Another ‘Lost Decade’ Responding To China, Authors Say – Nikkei Asia

The failure of successive U.S. administrations to respond adequately to the stunning growth of Chinese power, alongside the 1965 escalation in Vietnam and the 2003 invasion of Iraq, is one of the three biggest foreign policy blunders since World War II, authors of a much-talked-about new book said.

Omission Bias: Here We Go Again

In “Lost Decade: The U.S. Pivot to Asia and the Rise of Chinese Power,” Robert Blackwill, a former ambassador to India, and Richard Fontaine, CEO of the Center for a New American Security, conclude that the “pivot to Asia” strategy has so far failed, distracted by conflicts in Europe and the Middle East.


12. Iran Blames Israeli Attack On Gaza On ‘Inaction’ By World States, UN – Al Arabiya

Iran’s foreign ministry blamed an Israeli attack on a Gaza refugee camp during a hostage rescue operation on “inaction” by world governments and the UN Security Council, Iranian state media reported.

Omission Bias: Here We Go Again

13. At UN, North Koreans Beg China To Stop Sending Escapees Back – RFA

In November, China forcibly repatriated 600 North Koreans, who likely face severe punishment – prison or possibly even execution.

Omission Bias: Here We Go Again

Beijing maintains that they are illegal migrants who must be sent back to their country of origin and that two agreements with Pyongyang bind them.

Diplomats gathered at an event hosted by the U.N. Human Rights Council in Geneva urged Beijing to embrace “non-refoulement,” or the refusal to send asylum-seekers back to countries where they may face persecution.


14. South Korea To Resume Propaganda Broadcasts Against N. Korea’s Trash Balloons – Yonhap

South Korea will install loudspeakers near the border and resume propaganda broadcasts Sunday, the presidential office said, in response to North Korea’s repeated launches of balloons filled with trash.

Omission Bias: Here We Go Again

The National Security Council convened an emergency meeting. It approved the measure a day after the North floated the balloons in retaliation against South Korean civic groups’ recent launch of balloons carrying anti-Pyongyang propaganda leaflets across the border.


15. Many Americans Cite Health Reasons For Using Marijuana – HealthDay News

One in six patients serviced by a major California healthcare system said they used marijuana regularly, with many citing health reasons for doing so, a new study finds.

Omission Bias: Here We Go Again

“Not asking patients about their cannabis use results in a missed opportunity for opening up doctor-patient communication regarding use of cannabis generally and for management of their symptoms,” said study author Dr. Lillian Gelberg said.

Concerned, a leading independent advisory board known as the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force recommended in 2022 that physicians routinely screen patients for cannabis use.

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Republished with permission from TIPP Insights

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