The Left has prosecuted former President Trump with unabated focus on one issue more than all the others combined – that he is an election denier when he refused to concede the 2020 results.
We have news for the Left based on the results of the 2024 election. Trump likely won in 2020, and he was correct in sticking to his belief that the results were rigged to favor his opponent.
As of Thursday morning, nearly all states had completed their 2024 vote counts. Vice President Kamala Harris has 74.4 million votes (48.25%) to President-elect Trump’s 76.9 million votes (49.87%).
TIPP estimates that the total yet-to-be-counted votes are approximately 2 million. Assuming a 55-45 split for Harris in the remaining Blue states (California ratio=58.7% to 38.1%), Harris’s vote totals would increase by about 1.1 million and Trump’s by about 0.9 million. This would place Kamala Harris at around 75.5 million total votes and Trump at 77.8 million, a decisive popular vote victory for Trump. Third-party candidates took in 2.9 million votes from a total electorate of 156.2 million.
[In some battleground states, like Michigan, Democrats denied RFK Jr.’s request to not remain on the ballot after he had withdrawn and endorsed Trump. The Democrats wanted to force Trump’s vote to split and help propel Harris to victory. The plot failed as Trump comfortably carried all seven battlegrounds].
According to the certified 2020 results, the total number of votes cast was 158.4 million, with Biden receiving 81.3 million, Trump receiving 74.2 million, and third-party candidates receiving 2.92 million. 2020 was also the year when COVID-19 attacked the world with a vengeance. Many people, including candidates Biden and Harris, mostly stayed home.
The chart below compares voter support for Democrats and Republicans across four presidential elections. It shows Trump’s 2024 total of 77.8 million votes surpassing Harris’s 75.5 million and Biden’s 2020 high of 81.3 million.
As America’s population grew from 335.9 million in 2020 to 341.8 million in 2024, there were technically 1.8% more voters in 2024 than in 2020. Biden-Harris unleashed the power of the federal bureaucracy, using work-study programs to get college students to drive up voter registrations. Harris raised more than $1 billion and spent massively on voter mobilization and outreach during the 107 days she was a candidate, a record. She springboarded off the impressive campaign infrastructure that Biden had been assembling for years. Many states stepped up same-day voter registrations. Both sides campaigned on the theme that 2024 was the most consequential election of our times.
Despite one of the most considerable get-out-to-vote efforts in recent memory, with paid staff knocking on millions of doors before the elections, how could there be 2.2 million fewer total voters in 2024 than in 2020? Even more vexing, Harris, as a trailblazing woman candidate of color, won 5.8 million fewer votes than Biden. Did that many Democrats not go to the polls? They couldn’t have voted for third-party candidates because the 2020 and 2024 totals for third-party candidates were identical. We acknowledge that some of Biden’s 2020 voters could have switched to Trump in 2024, who increased his performance by 3.5 million. Even if you assume all those were erstwhile Biden supporters, even though the GOP worked hard to boost new voters, where did 2.3 million votes go?
Biden was a lackluster candidate in 2020, placing fourth and fifth, respectively, in Iowa and New Hampshire primaries. How could Biden have won 15 million (24.6%) more votes than history-making candidates Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton in 2008 and 2016, respectively?
Trump received 11 million more votes in his 2020 reelection bid than he did in his 2016 victory, but still lost. This situation – where a candidate received more votes in their reelection bid than they did in their first election but still lost the race – hasn’t happened since 1892. [In 1888, Benjamin Harrison defeated incumbent president Grover Cleveland despite Cleveland winning the popular vote. When Harrison ran for reelection in 1892, he received more votes than in 1888 but still lost the election to Grover Cleveland].
For decades, 20 bellwether counties around the country have historically predicted the winner. Vigo County, Indiana, has consistently voted for the winning candidate since 1956. Valencia County, New Mexico, has voted with the winner since 1952. Trump won 19 of the 20 bellwether counties but still lost the 2020 election. Critics of this analysis said that bellwethers are not reliable indicators because of demographic shifts. However, the bellwethers again stood in 2024. Although New Mexico went for Harris, Valencia County went for Trump 57-41. Indiana decidedly went for Trump, as did Vigo County, 58-40.
Are we to believe that 2020 was such a strange year that every anomaly magically aligned to give Biden a victory when he did not even campaign?
Election integrity is a crucial element of democracy, but officials at every level took a callous position during the 2020 campaign. Under William Barr, the DOJ refused to investigate how last-minute mail balloting changes and vote-curing methods affected the integrity of the election. The courts routinely dismissed Trump’s challenges not based on merit but on technicalities, like standing.
The J6 Committee, which spent millions of taxpayer dollars investigating January 6 for over 18 months, had all the resources and the time to answer a simple question. Why did tens of thousands of Trump supporters gather at the Ellipse on that day? The partisan committee never looked into the causes that triggered the devastating events of January 6, something that one would expect an investigating committee to do.
A CNN poll from July 2023 revealed that 69% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents view Biden’s 2020 win as illegitimate. Trump and his supporters have a plethora of reasons to question the outcome. Simply dismissing these concerns as a “big lie,” as Jake Tapper and the thought police at CNN do, doesn’t negate the importance of examining them with sincerity—truth doesn’t simply transmute into a lie because someone labels it so.
TIPP Picks
Selected articles from tippinsights.com
‘Everything Has Changed Now’: Biden Spends Last Months In Office Gambling Risk Of Nuclear War With Russia – Jake Smith, DCNF
4 Key Takeaways From FEMA Head’s Testimony After Supervisor Told Staff To Avoid Houses With Trump Signs – Tyler O’Neil, The Daily Signal
Is California Turning Purple? – Editorial Board, Issues & Insights
Gresham’s Law: Bitcoin Will Save The World! – Mark Thornton, Mises Institute
How Can We ‘Trust The Science’ When We Can’t Trust The Data? – Editorial Board, Issues & Insights
Did They Learn Nothing From 2024 Election? Democrats Fight for Man In Women’s Bathroom – Katrina Trinko, The Daily Signal
Victor Davis Hanson Explains Why He Thinks Matt Gaetz Could Be Trump’s ‘Sacrificial Lamb’ Pick – Hailey Gomez, DCNF
A Free-Market Guide To Trump’s Immigration Crackdown – Ryan McMaken, Mises Institute
Trump Confirms He Will Declare National Emergency, Use Military Assets For Mass Deportation – Jason Hopkins, DCNF
Fired Democrats Blast DNC After Surprise Layoffs, Raising Questions About Harris Campaign Spending – Reagan Reese, DCNF
Heritage Foundation President Proposes ‘Taking Back Washington To Save America’ – Christina Lewis, The Daily Signal
TIPP Takes
Geopolitics, Geoeconomics, And More
1. Hezbollah Chief Says Won’t Accept Truce With Israel That Violates Lebanon Sovereignty – AFP
Hezbollah seeks a “complete and comprehensive end to the aggression” and “the preservation of Lebanon’s sovereignty… the Israeli enemy cannot enter (Lebanese territory) whenever it wants”, Hezbollah chief Naim Qassem said in a pre-recorded speech.
“Israel cannot defeat us and cannot impose its conditions on us,” he added, as U.S. envoy Amos Hochstein concluded a two-day visit to Beirut seeking to broker a ceasefire deal between Israel and Hezbollah.
2. U.S. Defense Chief Says Houthis Need To Pay A Price, Vows To Step Up Attacks – Al Arabiya
Pentagon chief Lloyd Austin said that the U.S. military would be stepping up its attacks on Yemen’s Houthis because of its continued attacks on shipping lanes in the Red Sea.
“You’ll see us increasingly place — use all the elements that are available to us in our national power to really begin to dial this down, dial it back,” Austin said about U.S. efforts to degrade Houthi capabilities and their ability to conduct attacks.
3. U.S. Vetoes UN Security Council Resolution On Gaza Ceasefire – Reuters
Only the U.S. voted against the resolution for a ceasefire in Israel’s war, using its veto as a permanent council member to block the resolution. The United States accused council members of cynically rejecting attempts at reaching a compromise.
The 15-member council voted on a resolution put forward by its 10 non-permanent members in a meeting that called for an “immediate, unconditional and permanent ceasefire” and separately demanded the release of hostages.
4. U.S. Unveils New Weapons Package For Ukraine, Including Anti-Personnel Landmines – UPI
The package is valued at $275 million, according to a statement from the Pentagon, and adds to the nearly $60.1 billion in military assistance the Biden administration has committed to Ukraine since Russia invaded on Feb. 24, 2022.
The inclusion of anti-personnel landmines comes on the heels of President Joe Biden authorizing Ukrainians to use the controversial weapon in the war.
5. Ukraine: Kyiv Reportedly Fires UK-Made Missiles Into Russia – D.W.
British media has widely reported that Ukraine has fired UK-made Storm Shadow missiles into Russia. A spokesperson for UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer said his office would not comment on reports or operational matters.
Meanwhile, the U.S. has closed its embassy in Kyiv, saying it received information about a possible air attack.
6. U.S. ‘Doing Everything’ To Extend Ukraine War – AFP
Russia accused the United States of prolonging the “war in Ukraine” by stepping up weapons deliveries to Kyiv ahead of Donald Trump’s return to the White House.
Both Moscow and Kyiv are jockeying to secure an upper hand on the battlefield ahead of Trump assuming office again on Jan. 20, 2025.
7. N. Korea Sent More Arms To Russia – Spy Agency – A.P.
In a briefing at South Korea’s parliament, the National Intelligence Service (NIS) told legislators that the North exported 170-millimeter self-propelled guns and 240mm multiple rocket launch systems to Russia, said a lawmaker who attended the meeting.
The artillery systems are the latest conventional weapons that North Korea is believed to have provided to Russia as the two countries are sharply expanding their military cooperation.
8. China Set To Lose Over 50 Million People In Population Crisis – Newsweek
By 2025, China’s population is projected to drop from its 2021 peak of 1.41 billion to 1.36 billion, Ada Li, a senior industry analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, said in a forecast based on UN data.
The long-term outlook is even grimmer. The United Nations estimates China’s population will shrink by 50 percent by the end of the century. The Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences earlier this year predicted an even steeper 60-percent drop.
9. Chinese Rival To Elon Musk’s Starlink Strikes Deal To Enter Brazil – Nikkei Asia
China’s low Earth orbit satellite company SpaceSail, which aims to challenge Elon Musk’s Starlink, signed an agreement to enter the Brazilian market, the company said, during Chinese President Xi Jinping’s state visit to Brasilia.
SpaceSail signed a memorandum with Brazilian state telecom Telebras to provide satellite communications and broadband Internet services to the Latin American country.
10. China Reels After String Of Public Stabbings, Car Attacks – RFA
China is reeling in the wake of many attacks on members of the public in recent weeks, including a fatal car attack at a stadium in the southern port city of Zhuhai this month that left 35 people dead and dozens more injured.
Since then, further violence has been making the headlines, including stabbings on two college campuses at the weekend and a car attack on students at a primary school in Hunan province.
11. Iran Using Executions To Suppress Ethnic Minorities, Rights Group Says – RFE/RL
Iranian authorities are using executions as “a tool of fear,” particularly directed at ethnic minorities, dissidents, and foreign nationals, Human Rights Watch (HRW) said.
The rights watchdog highlighted a recent surge in capital punishment sentences against these groups, noting that the verdicts are handed down amid rampant violations of due process. According to Iran Human Rights group, in the first 10 months of this year, at least 651 people were executed in Iran – 166 people in October alone.
12. S. Korea Confirms N. Korea Stole 58 Bln Won Worth Of Cryptocurrency In 2019 – Yonhap
The National Office of Investigation of the National Police Agency said North Korea’s state-sponsored hacking groups Lazarus and Andariel were involved in the theft of 342,000 Ethereum tokens from the cryptocurrency exchange Upbit in November 2019.
The tokens, valued at 58 billion won (US$41.5 million) at the time, are now equivalent to 1.47 trillion won.
13. Is Nuclear Power Gaining New Energy? – BBC
Concerns over safety, cost, and what to do with radioactive waste had sapped enthusiasm for a technology once seen as a revolutionary source of abundant cheap energy.
Yet now there is widespread talk of a revival, fuelled by tech giants Microsoft, Google and Amazon all announcing investments in the sector, as well as the growing pressures on wealthy nations to curb their carbon emissions. Now interest in the sector seems to be growing elsewhere once again.
14. 1 Vanguard Index Fund May Beat The S&P 500 By 100% In The Next Few Years, According To A Wall Street Analyst – The Motley Fool
During a recent interview, Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, told CNBC that small-cap stocks may outperform large-cap stocks by a wide margin in the near term.
Should that prediction prove accurate, the Russell 2000 would run circles around the S&P 500 in the next few years, perhaps even doubling its return, as Lee suggests. The Russell 2000 has historically outperformed the S&P 500 by an average of 12 percentage points during the 12 months following the end of a rate-cutting cycle.
15. Trump Team Mulls Creating First-Ever White House Crypto Role – Bloomberg
According to people familiar with the transition efforts, President-elect Donald Trump’s team is discussing with the digital asset industry whether to create a new White House post solely dedicated to cryptocurrency policy.
The people said that Trump’s team is vetting candidates to serve in such a role. If created, it would be the first-ever crypto-specific White House job and would underscore the influence the nascent industry stands to wield in the incoming administration.
16. Report: U.S. Postpartum Depression Diagnoses Doubled In 10 Years – HealthDay News
While about 9.4% new moms suffered postpartum depression in 2010, that number rose to almost 19% by 2021, reports a team from Kaiser Permanente Southern California.
Researchers said that better detection and reporting could play a big role in the steep rise. However, rising rates of obesity during pregnancy could also be a factor since obesity has long been known to be a risk factor for postpartum depression.
As defined by the researchers, postpartum depression is “a depressive disorder that occurs within 12 months following childbirth.”
Republished with permission from TIPP Insights
